A survey conducted by the International Center for Ukrainian Victory (ICUV). The field stage was conducted by the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation in cooperation with the Center for Political Sociology in June.

In general, 2,001 respondents aged above 18 were polled. The sampling technique used in the survey is multistage, involving a random selection of localities at the initial stages and a quota-based selection of respondents at the final stage. The random selection represents the demographic structure of the adult population in the territories covered by the survey as of the beginning of 2022. The maximum sample random error does not exceed 2.3%. At the same time, it is necessary to consider systematic deviations in the sample caused by the forced migration of millions of citizens due to the Russian-Ukrainian war.

KEY FINDINGS

  • The absolute majority of Ukrainians (53%) are willing to agree to carry on the war if it is a prerequisite for victory.
  • The majority of Ukrainians (68%) associate the victory with a complete defeat of Russia, leading either to the liberation of all the occupied territories (43%) or the collapse of Russia (26%).
  • 70% of Ukrainians consider it crucial for all the territories to be liberated from the enemy to call it a victory in the war. It proves that there are no prerequisites for the society to support any peace plans or initiatives that would mean territorial compromises with Russia.
  • Important victory factors include bringing back all Ukrainian captives and deported individuals (60%) and prosecuting Russian military criminals (51%). Saving fellow citizens and punishment of those responsible for killings and tortures are vital in fostering the unity and resilience of the Ukrainian nation amid the war.
  • For more than a half of the respondents (51%), the only possible scenario is the war waged until the final victory, without any compromises or concessions. Although the Ukrainians are sensitive to the growth in the number of victims, the majority is still ready for this or other adverse scenarios, ready to keep waging the war, and not to agree to peace talks with Russia.
  • Over three quarters of Ukrainians (77%) are positively sure of Ukraine’s victory, and 16% rather believe in the victory. Such a high level of faith in the victory can be explained by citizens’ awareness of the grave threat of annihilation of their entire nation in case of a military defeat.
  • The support of the so-called “peace at any price” is quite low (6%).
  • The majority of respondents (58%) claim they will support the principles and terms of ending the war declared by the President of Ukraine.
  • The idea of territorial concessions is not popular and is supported by only a small minority of Ukrainians (6%).
  • Only about 14% of respondents are ready for compromises in the form of abandoning the accession to NATO or the EU.
  • Ukrainians show they are not willing to compromise with the aggressor. Coupled with the trust in the President and his “peace plan” principles, this signifies the cohesion and determination of both the society and military political authorities to persist in the war until peace is attained on Ukraine’s terms.
  • 54% of Ukraine’s population choose accession to NATO among the possible security guarantees for the state. The support of alternatives is as follows: strategic defense cooperation treaties with several NATO members (16%), neutral status secured by international guarantees of Ukraine’s sovereignty (10%), and relying solely on one’s own efforts and military industry without any international guarantees (8%).
  • Accession to NATO is appealing to Ukrainians primarily as a method of protection against the Russian aggression.
  • 56% of respondents believe in long-lasting support of Ukraine by the western partners. If partner countries reduce or terminate their economic support, 44% of Ukrainians find it necessary to continue the war whatever the cost, and 41% of respondents hold the same view in case of reduction or cessation of military aid.
  • Even among the respondents who did not choose accession to NATO as the best option to guarantee security for Ukraine, 72% are not prepared to refuse from joining NATO as a compromise with Russia.
  • The expectations of Ukrainians regarding the aid from partner countries can be summarized into two primary areas: improving the defensive capacity of Ukraine and providing security guarantees and economic support for Ukraine.
  • The absolute majority of Ukrainians (78%) share the idea that all Russians are accountable for the aggression against Ukraine.
  • The majority of Ukrainians (57%) want to punish everyone who was directly involved in planning, approving, arranging, and committing the war crimes.
  • Almost 16% of the polled Ukrainians all over the country said they had witnessed war crimes committed by Russians, and another 5% said they might have witnessed such actions.
  • Ukrainians (95%) expect that the state will insist on Russia compensating for the losses caused during the war, yet less than half of respondents (40%) believe reparations will actually be paid.

Full text of the survey in Ukrainian

Full text of the survey in English

Presentation of the survey

TOpics of publication

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